Saturday, 3 March 2012


PART ONE: What could possibly go wrong?

(NB: Please use the fullscreen button for a crystal clear image)

On March 7th, Apple will launch the next generation of its iconic iPad.  It will be the first major launch since the death of the company's founder, Steve Jobs.  

With its stock price soaring into the Applesphere and the fundamental outlook apparently never better, new CEO Tim Cook is under pressure to maintain its tearaway earnings momentum and extend the company's exalted reputation for ground-breaking innovation and design.

This stock is now so highly prized that, were it in the Dow Jones Industrials Average of the top 30 US companies, it would comprise 25% of the entire value of that index. Alone, it represents 18% of the Nasdaq 100 technology index. If your retirement account, ISA or pension is invested in stocks or holds an index fund, the chances are it will already hold a slice of Apple.  

The continued success of this company is thus of outsized importance to the entire US market, to all correlated markets and by default therefore, to our collective financial future.

In a special video post, OntheMoney looks at the remarkable confluence of technical signs and patterns which surround this seemingly routine product launch and asks whether, after years of unrelenting good news, the Apple is finally about to bite back. 

PART TWO:  The precedents...

PART THREE:  ...and what they're telling us


Will history repeat with Apple?


Here are charts of AAPL's performance around its major announcements, as shown in the above video: